COVID-19 Impact on Reproduction Open access Peer reviewed

Predictors of Preterm Delivery in the COVID-19 Era: A Retrospective Cohort Study of a Large, Integrated HealthSystem

Katharine Raisler, Celeena R. Jefferson, Seohyun Kim, R. Clayton Bishop and 1 more

The Permanente Journal | Nov 11, 2026

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COVID-19 infection throughout pregnancy was not associated with increased odds of preterm delivery, and racial disparities and other key covariates like history of preterm delivery may confound the reported increase in preterm delivery.

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INTRODUCTION: Preterm delivery is the leading cause of perinatal mortality and long-term neonatal morbidity in the United States, and rates are rising. Research has shown that COVID-19 infection may increase the possibility of preterm delivery. However, these studies disproportionately focus on third trimester and iatrogenic cases, often overlooking risk across the entire pregnancy or without adjusting for prior preterm delivery and sociodemographic factors. To address these gaps, the authors investigated the association between COVID-19 at any point in pregnancy and preterm delivery while exploring other predictors of preterm delivery. METHODS: tests, the authors explored associations between preterm delivery and other sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. Data were abstracted from electronic medical records. RESULTS: Of 14,250 participants, 994 (7%) experienced COVID-19 infection during pregnancy. Overall, 1313 (9%) had preterm delivery. In univariate logistic regression analyses, those with COVID-19 were more likely to be < 35 years old, Hispanic or Black, non-English-speaking, obese, and multiparous. COVID-19 infection during pregnancy was associated with increased odds of preterm delivery in the authors' unadjusted model but not in the multivariable adjusted model. Being ≥ 35 years old, Hispanic, Black, nulliparous, hypertensive, immunocompromised, or having a prior preterm delivery or gestational or chronic diabetes were significantly associated with higher odds of preterm delivery in the authors' multivariable model. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 infection throughout pregnancy was not associated with increased odds of preterm delivery. Racial disparities and other key covariates like history of preterm delivery may confound the reported increase in preterm delivery.

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Authors

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Katharine Raisler

first | Kaiser Permanente

Celeena R. Jefferson

middle | Kaiser Permanente

Seohyun Kim

middle | Kaiser Permanente

R. Clayton Bishop

middle | Kaiser Permanente | ORCID 0000-0003-2383-9231

Nancy S. Weinfield

last | Kaiser Permanente | ORCID 0000-0002-1417-2271

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BibTeX

@article{Raisler2026Predictors,
  title = {Predictors of Preterm Delivery in the COVID-19 Era: A Retrospective Cohort Study of a Large, Integrated HealthSystem},
  author = {Katharine Raisler and Celeena R. Jefferson and Seohyun Kim and R. Clayton Bishop and Nancy S. Weinfield},
  journal = {The Permanente Journal},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.7812/tpp/26.024},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.7812/tpp/26.024}
}

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