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ECB monetary policy transmission to unilaterally euroised economies

Georgi Krustev

Economics Letters | Sep 24, 2026

Abstract

Abstract

Leveraging the unique setting of unilateral euroisation, this paper examines the spillover effects of euro area monetary policy on Montenegro and Kosovo. Through the lens of a structural VAR model with block exogeneity, it shows that euro area monetary policy shocks can significantly influence output and inflation in these economies, albeit with a delayed response, while contributing only modestly to their overall business cycle fluctuations.

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Georgi Krustev

first | European Central Bank | ORCID 0000-0003-1514-8449

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@article{Krustev2026monetary,
  title = {ECB monetary policy transmission to unilaterally euroised economies},
  author = {Georgi Krustev},
  journal = {Economics Letters},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.1016/j.econlet.2026.113242},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2026.113242}
}

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