Cognitive Science and Mapping Open access

The bounded rationality of probabilistic mental models

Gerd Gigerenzer

Mar 19, 2026 | 144 citations

Abstract

Abstract

Imagine you are a subject in a psychological experiment. In front of you is a text problem, and you begin to read: Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken and very bright. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and also participated in antinuclear demonstrations. Which of two alternatives is more Linda is a bank teller. Linda is a bank teller and is active in the feminist movement.

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Gerd Gigerenzer

first | University of Chicago | ORCID 0000-0002-6163-5419

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@article{Gigerenzer2026bounded,
  title = {The bounded rationality of probabilistic mental models},
  author = {Gerd Gigerenzer},
  year = {2026},
  doi = {10.4324/9781003735540-12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003735540-12}
}

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